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This article is cited in 10 papers
Stopping Brownian motion without anticipation as close as possible to its ultimate maximum
S. E. Graversena, G. Peskira, A. N. Shiryaevb a Institute of Mathematics, University of Aarhus, Denmark
b Steklov Mathematical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences
Abstract:
Let $B=(B_t)_{0 \le t \le 1}$ be the standard Brownian motion started at 0, and let $S_t=\max_{ 0 \le r \le t} B_r$ for $0 \le t \le 1$. Consider the optimal stopping problem $$ V_*=\inf_\tau{\mathsf E}(B_\tau-S_1)^2, $$
where the infimum is taken over all stopping times of $B$ satisfying $0 \le \tau \le 1$. We show that the infimum is attained at the stopping time $\tau_*=\inf\{0\le t\le 1\mid S_t-B_t\ge z_*\sqrt{1-t}\}$, where $z_*=1.12 \ldots$ is a unique root of the equation $4\Phi(z_*)-2z_*\varphi(z_*)-3=0$ with $\varphi(x)=(1/\sqrt{2 \pi }) e^{-x^2/2}$ and $ \Phi (x)=\int_{-\infty}^x \varphi(y) dy$. The value $V_*$ equals $2 \Phi (z_*)-1$. The method of proof relies upon a stochastic integral representation of $S_1$, time-change arguments, and the solution of a free-boundary (Stefan) problem.
Keywords:
Brownian motion, optimal stopping, anticipation, ultimate maximum, free-boundary (Stefan) problem, Ito–Clark representation theorem, Markov process, diffusion.
Received: 21.10.1999
Language: English
Citation:
S. E. Graversen, G. Peskir, A. N. Shiryaev, “Stopping Brownian motion without anticipation as close as possible to its ultimate maximum”, Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 45:1 (2000), 125–136
Citation in format AMSBIB:
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\paper Stopping Brownian motion without anticipation as close as possible to its ultimate maximum
\jour Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen.
\yr 2000
\vol 45
\issue 1
\pages 125--136
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\mathscinet{http://www.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1810977}
\zmath{http://www.zentralblatt-math.org/zmath/search/?an=Zbl 0982.60082}
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Linking options:
http://mi.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp327 http://mi.mathnet.ru/eng/tvp/v45/i1/p125
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English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2001, 45:1, 41–50
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000167428900003
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