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Computer Research and Modeling, 2025, Volume 17, Issue 2, Pages 323–338
DOI: https://doi.org/10.20537/2076-7633-2025-17-2-323-338
(Mi crm1271)
 

MODELS OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SYSTEMS

Formalized decision-making model: taking into account value motivation

S. Yu. Malkova, O. A. Shpyrkob

a Center for Long-Term Forecasting and strategic planning of Moscow State University, 1 Leninskie gory st., Moscow, 119991, Russia
b Branch of Moscow State University named after M. V. Lomonosov in the city of Sevastopol, 7 Geroev Sevastopolja st., Sevastopol, 299001, Russia
References:
Abstract: The paper considers the problems of mathematical description of deontological aspects influencing the behavior of decision makers. A methodology is proposed for correlating utilitarian (material) and deontological (value) aspects in their decision-making, taking into account their psychological characteristics. A mathematical model is proposed for the joint consideration of utilitarian and deontological factors in decision-making in various situations. Some patterns related to this consideration are identified, and their formal description is given. The model shows that there is a tendency for a gradual decrease in the level of deontology in evaluating alternatives when making decisions (compared to what the outside world inclines to) towards greater utilitarianism. Over time, this trend begins to influence public opinion and society’s attitude to moral norms, gradually reducing the overall level of morality in society. This process can be stopped only by constantly and purposefully maintaining a high level of deontology by society and the state (ideological work, promotion of traditional values, educational work at school, etc.), otherwise society will inevitably become utilitarian over time, focusing exclusively on material factors when making decisions.
In the future, it is planned to use the developed tools for analyzing specific situations, including for analyzing the patterns of civilizational cycles: the rise and fall of the Roman Empire, the USSR, and modern Western civilization).
Keywords: decision-making, deontological factors, moral choice, mathematical model, comparison of alternatives
Funding agency Grant number
Lomonosov Moscow State University 24-Ш05-12
This work was done with the support of MSU Program of Development, Project No. 24-SCH05-12.
Received: 16.01.2025
Revised: 12.03.2025
Accepted: 15.03.2025
Document Type: Article
UDC: 51-77
Language: Russian
Citation: S. Yu. Malkov, O. A. Shpyrko, “Formalized decision-making model: taking into account value motivation”, Computer Research and Modeling, 17:2 (2025), 323–338
Citation in format AMSBIB
\Bibitem{MalShp25}
\by S.~Yu.~Malkov, O.~A.~Shpyrko
\paper Formalized decision-making model: taking into account value motivation
\jour Computer Research and Modeling
\yr 2025
\vol 17
\issue 2
\pages 323--338
\mathnet{http://mi.mathnet.ru/crm1271}
\crossref{https://doi.org/10.20537/2076-7633-2025-17-2-323-338}
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