Modelling of High School Development. Medium Scale Models

The system of mathematical models for analysis of alternatives of structural policy in higher education of Russia is considered. The analysis of these models enables to estimate the consequences of global reforms in this field. The discussion of the models and the results and some conclusions are presented. The model of aging structure of teaching staff and the model of development of higher education under various financial policies for different groups of education institutes are considered in details. The former model describes and predicts changes in different age and professional groups of higher school teachers. Investigation of this model shows that even under the best outcome of economical reforms, the negative consequences of the present policy in education will remain during about 50 years. The analysis performed shows that in the present socio-economical situation the policy of selecting the 'elite' group of education institutes in sciences and technology is optimal for preserving capabilities of higher school and possibility of its future development. Priorities in financial support of this elite group, enhancement in educational standards and creation of new jobs for graduates may be of principle importance for solving a number of national problems.