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Informatsionnye Tekhnologii i Vychslitel'nye Sistemy, 2011, Issue 1, Pages 24–34
(Mi itvs37)
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CONTROL AND DECISION MAKING
Universality of algorithms predicting strong events in complex systems
A. B. Shapoval, M. G. Shnirman International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics RAS
Abstract:
In spite of hypothesis claiming non-predictability of models with self-organized criticality (SOC), this paper for the first time gives evidence that strong events in a SOC-model of earthquake occurrence (of the Manna type) are predictable with certain efficiency. Some quiescence underlies the prediction. The error diagram exhibits prediction efficiency.
Keywords:
self-organized criticality, prediction, error diagram.
Citation:
A. B. Shapoval, M. G. Shnirman, “Universality of algorithms predicting strong events in complex systems”, Informatsionnye Tekhnologii i Vychslitel'nye Sistemy, 2011, no. 1, 24–34
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/itvs37 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/itvs/y2011/i1/p24
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| Statistics & downloads: |
| Abstract page: | 135 | | Full-text PDF : | 56 | | References: | 2 |
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