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This article is cited in 11 scientific papers (total in 11 papers)
Sample distribution function construction for non-stationary time-series forecasting
Yu. N. Orlova, K. P. Osmininb a M. V. Keldysh Institute for Applied Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences
b M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics
Abstract:
The method of statistical analysis and forecasting of non-stationary time-series is proposed on the basis of quasi-stationary criterion of sample distribution function and evolution equation with weighted average velocity. This method is applied to predict the time-series values outside of quasi-stationary limits. The concrete prognosis model is constructed for the case of cyclic time-series. The accuracy of forecast is analyzed for various discrete models of Liouville equation.
Received: 28.09.2007
Citation:
Yu. N. Orlov, K. P. Osminin, “Sample distribution function construction for non-stationary time-series forecasting”, Mat. Model., 20:9 (2008), 23–33
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mm2680 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/mm/v20/i9/p23
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