Factoring decision support system based on optimized quantum algorithms QMC

The continuous growth of financial markets dictates the need for its participants to seek new approaches to financial analysis to gain competitive advantages, including through the use of new approaches in the field of computing. Quantum computing can be used as a tool for obtaining these advantages over competitors. In particular, Monte Carlo modeling, although widely used in financial risk management, requires significant computing resources due to the large number of scenarios required to obtain an accurate result. To optimize this approach, quantum amplitude estimation algorithms are used, which accelerate this process if pre-calculated probability distributions are used to initialize input quantum states. However, in the absence of these distributions in existing approaches to this topic, they are generated numerically using classical computing, which completely negates the advantage of the quantum approach. This article proposes a solution to this problem by using quantum computing, including for the generation of probability distributions. The article discusses the creation of quantum circuits for modeling the evolution of risk factors over time for capital flows, interest rates, and credit risks, and presents the combination of these models with quantum amplitude estimation algorithms as an example of using the obtained algorithms for credit risk management. In conclusion, the article analyzes the possibility of using the obtained circuits in financial analysis.