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Mathematical Modeling
Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk
V. N. Nikishchov, E. V. Mikhailova Samara State University, Samara, Russia
(published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License)
Abstract:
The estimation problem of the enterprise total losses related to the improper performance of liability is considered. The total losses distribution function and density for the aggregate contracts are constructed by the recurrent methods, proposed by N. de Pril and H. Panjer. The numerical experiments based on five groups of contract portfolio are carried out. The results analysis showing the advantages and disadvantages of calculating algorithms is made. In particular, the values of means at risk obtained by H. Panjer method are superior to the corresponding values founded by N. de Pril method, and the maximum value of loss occurrence probability in the distribution density realized by H. Panjer method is less than the one, gotten by N. de Pril method. The results can be used for the further development of N. de Pril and H. Panjer approaches for estimation of total losses of risk aggregate.
Keywords:
total loss, recurrent methods, cumulative functions of risk.
Original article submitted 24/XI/2011 revision submitted – 27/III/2012
Citation:
V. N. Nikishchov, E. V. Mikhailova, “Recurrent methods of construction of cumulative functions of risk”, Vestn. Samar. Gos. Tekhn. Univ., Ser. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki [J. Samara State Tech. Univ., Ser. Phys. Math. Sci.], 2(27) (2012), 144–151
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vsgtu1021 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vsgtu/v127/p144
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| Abstract page: | 491 | | Full-text PDF : | 293 | | References: | 68 | | First page: | 1 |
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