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Applied mathematics
Algorithm of variance estimation in weighted least squares method
A. V. Prasolov, N. G. Ivanov, N. V. Smirnov St. Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya nab., St. Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation
Abstract:
The representation of a time series model as a piecewise-stationary process is provided, wherein it is regarded as a collection of successive stationary intervals. An algorithm has been developed for identifying the domain containing the trend within this model. It is recognized that applying the least squares method directly for trend determination is not commonly employed in statistical analysis and econometric software packages. Typically, the weighted least squares method is utilized to ideally eliminate non-stationarity. The authors presents an algorithm for estimating the weight coefficients for this method through piecewise-stationary modeling. The algorithm has been tested on time series of various natures.
Keywords:
time series, piecewise-stationary process, weighted least squares method.
Received: August 25, 2023 Accepted: October 12, 2023
Citation:
A. V. Prasolov, N. G. Ivanov, N. V. Smirnov, “Algorithm of variance estimation in weighted least squares method”, Vestnik S.-Petersburg Univ. Ser. 10. Prikl. Mat. Inform. Prots. Upr., 19:4 (2023), 484–496
Linking options:
https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vspui597 https://www.mathnet.ru/eng/vspui/v19/i4/p484
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